List of research work

Articles

Kostov, P. and S. McErlean (2005) Using the Mixtures-of-Distributions technique for the classification of farms into representative farms, Agricultural Systems.

Kostov, P. and S. McErlean (2004) Agricultural Price Volatility Spill-over Effects: A Comment, European Review of Agricultural Economics, 31 (3): 481-485.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2004) Subsistence Agriculture in Transition Economies: its Roles and Determinants, Journal of Agricultural Economics, 55 (3): 565-579.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2003) Risk management: a general framework for rural development, Journal of Rural Studies, 19 (4): 463-476.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Subsistence Farming in Transitional Economies: Lessons from Bulgaria, Journal of Rural Studies, 18(1): 83-94.

Mishev, P. and P. Kostov (2000) Subsistence farming in Bulgaria – trends and prospects, Bulgarian Journal of Agricultural Science, 6(1): 65-74.

Mishev, P., N. Ivanova, M. Tzoneva and P. Kostov (1999) Influence of Structural and Income Policies on Size and Product Pattern of Production Units in Bulgarian Agriculture, Bulgarian Journal of Agricultural Science, 5(2): 337-45.

Books and chapters:

Kostov, P., Z. Wu and S. McErlean (2005) Do Chinese Stock Markets Share Common Information Arrival Processes, in J. Chen and S. Yao (eds.), Globalisation, Competition and Growth in China, RoutledgeCurzon Studies on the Chinese Economy, London: Taylor& Francis.

Mishev, P. and P. Kostov (2003) Decision Making Pattern of Subsistence Farmers in Bulgaria, in S. Abele and K. Frohberg. (eds.) Subsistence Agriculture in Central and Eastern Europe: How to Break the Vicious Cycle, Studies on the Agricultural and Food Sector in central and Eastern Europe, vol. 22, Halle: IAMO, 71-86.

Kostov, P. & J. Lingard (2003) Sviluppo rurale integrato: e necessario un nuovo approccio?, A. Arzeni, R. Esposti, F. Sotte (a cura di) Politiche di Sviluppo Rurale tra Programmazione e Valutazione, Associazione Alessandro Bartola, Milano: Franco Angeli, 31-46.

Mishev P, N. Ivanova and P. Kostov (2002) Agricultural Policy Options Distinguishing a Subsistence Sub-sector in Bulgaria, in G. Mergos (ed.) EU Enlargement and the CAP. A Quantitative Analysis for Slovenia and Bulgaria, Kiel: Wissenschaftsverlag Vauk, 135-170.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Integrated Rural Development - Do We Need a New Approach? in A. Arzeni, R. Esposti and F. Sotte (eds.) European Policy Experiences with Rural Development, Kiel: Wissenschaftsverlag Vauk, 43-59.

Conference papers

Kostov, P. M. Patton, S. Mcerlean, J. Moss (2005) Does Gibrat’s law hold amongst dairy farmers in Northern Ireland?, EAAE 11^th Congress, Copenhagen, 24-27 August.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2005) Disentangling the social and economic dimensions of agricultural behaviour: what role for institutions and social capital?, 94^th EAAE seminar “From households to firms with independent legal status: the spectrum of institutional units in the development of European agriculture”, Imperial College at Wye, Wye, 9-10 April.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2005) Seasonally specific model of UK cereal prices, AES annual conference, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, 4-6 April.

Moss, J, J. Binfield, P.Westhoff, P. Kostov, M. Patton and L. Zhang (2005) Analysis of the Impact of the Implementation of CAP Reform on Agriculture in the UK and Subsequent Elimination of EU Export Subsidies, NI-FAPRI Project, Dept. of Agricultural and Food Economics, Queen’s University Belfast, November, AES/DEFRA joint conference “CAP Reformed?”, The Harvey Goodwin Conference Suite, Church House, London, 12th January 2005.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2004) “Regime-switching VECM analysis of UK meat consumption”, AES Annual Conference, Imperial College, London, 2-4 April.

McErlean, S., J. Moss, M. Patton, P. Kostov and C. Jack (2004) “Investigating the Determinants of Farm Growth”, AES Annual Conference, Imperial College, London, 2-4 April.

Kostov, P., Z. Wu and S. McErlean (2003) Do Chinese Stock Markets Share Common Information Arrival Processes?, 14th CEA Annual Conference, London, 14-15 April.

Wu, Z. and P. Kostov (2003) Spatial Integration in North China Corn Markets, 14th CEA Annual Conference, London, 14-15 April.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2003) Risk Management, AES 77^th Annual Conference, Univeristy of Plymouth, 11-14 April.

Patton, M., S. McErlean and P. Kostov (2003) Modeling the Influence of Buyer and Seller Characteristics on the Price of Agricultural Land, AES 77^th Annual Conference, Univeristy of Plymouth, 11-14 April.

Moss, J., S. McEarlean, M. Patton, P. Kostov, P Westhoff and J. Binfield (2003) Analysing the Impacts of Modulation and Decoupling on UK Agriculture, AES 77^th Annual Conference, Univeristy of Plymouth, 11-14 April.

Moss, J., S. McErlean, M. Patton, P.Kostov, P.Westhoff and J. Binfield (2002) Analysis of the Impact of Modulation in Northern Ireland, Rural Stakeholder Forum, First Annual Conference “Mid Term Review of the Agenda 2000 CAP Agreement, Loughry College, 4 October.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Risk Management - A Positive Model of Decision-Making, 79th EAAE Conference, Wageningen, Netherlands, 5-7 June.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) On the Nature of Bulgarian Subsistence Agriculture, 2002 AES Annual Conference, Aberystwyth, UK, 8-10 April.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2001) Institutional Foundations of Subsistence Agriculture in Transition Economies, 2001 AES Annual Conference, Harper Adams University College, UK, 11-13 September .

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2001) Integrated Rural Development - Do We Need a New Approach?, Plenary Paper 1, 73th EAAE Conference, Ancona, Italy, 28-30 June 2001, Ancona (Italy).

Mishev, P. and P. Kostov (2001) Decision Making Pattern of Subsistence Farmers in Bulgaria, 76th EAAE Conference, Halle, Germany, 6-8 May.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2000) Modelling the Effects of Subsistence on Bulgarian Agricultural Performance, AES Annual Conference, Manchester, UK, 14-17 April.

Mishev, P. and P. Kostov (2000) Subsistence Farming in Bulgaria - Trends and Prospects, Scientific Conference "Subsistence Production in Central and Eastern Europe", 7th East-West Agricultural Forum, Berlin, Germany, January.

Mishev, P., N. Ivanova, M. Tzoneva and P. Kostov (1998) "Influence of Structural and Income Policies on Size and Product Pattern of Production Units in Bulgarian Agriculture", 58th EAAE Seminar, Sofia, Bulgaria, May.

Ivanova, N., P. Mishev and P. Kostov (1998) "Restrictive Macroeconomic Policies and Their Consequences for Agricultural Production" [in Bulgarian], Bourgas, Bulgaria, April.

Ivanova, N. and P. Kostov (1997) "Economic Assessment of Agricultural Sector Developments during Transition in Bulgaria", FAO Workshop paper, December [updated version presented in Halle, Germany, May 1998].

Kostov, P. (1996) "Transition, Agricultural Employment and Rural Communities", Wye Seminar Series, Wye College, UK, May.

Kostov, P. and K. Moulton (1995) "Agricultural Employment in Bulgaria During Transition", USIA, Sofia, Bulgaria.

Working papers

Moss, J, M. Patton, P. Kostov, L. Zhang, P.Westhoff and J. Binfield (2004) Analysis of the Impact of the Implementation of CAP Reform on Agriculture in Northern Ireland and Subsequent Elimination of EU Export Subsidies, NI-FAPRI Project, Dept. of Agricultural and Food Economics, Queen’s University Belfast, November.

Kostov, P., S. McErlean and J. Li (2004) Analysis of the Impact of the Luxembourg Agreement on reform of the common agricultural Policy on the Agri-Food Sector in the United Kingdom: an application of the AG-MEMOD Model, EU Fifth Framework project

Kostov, P. and S. McErlean (2003) Using Mixtures-of-Distributions models to inform farm size selection decisions in representative farm modelling, Working paper, Dept. of Agricultural and Food Economics, Queen’s University Belfast

Kostov, P. and S. McErlean (2002) Estimating the probability of large negative stock market returns: the case of food retailing and processing firms, Working paper, Dept. of Agricultural and Food Economics, Queen’s University Belfast

Moss, J., S. McErlean, Z. Wu, M. Patton, P.Kostov, P.Westhoff and J. Binfield (2002) Analysis of the impact of Modulation on Agriculture in the UK, NI-FAPRI Project: Agri-Food Policy Analysis Report No 6, Agri-Food Policy Analysis Group, Dept. of Agricultural and Food Economics, Queen’s University Belfast, November, available: http://www.qub.ac.uk/afe/fapri/UKModulation.pdf

Moss, J., S. McErlean, Z. Wu, M. Patton, P.Kostov, P.Westhoff and J. Binfield (2002) Analysis of the impact of Decoupling on Agriculture in the UK, NI-FAPRI Project: Agri-Food Policy Analysis Report No 6, Agri-Food Policy Analysis Group, Dept. of Agricultural and Food Economics, Queen’s University Belfast, November, available: http://www.qub.ac.uk/afe/fapri/QueenUni.pdf

Moss, J., S. McErlean, Z. Wu, M. Patton, P.Kostov, P.Westhoff and J. Binfield (2002) Analysis of the impact of Decoupling on Agriculture in NI, NI-FAPRI Project: Agri-Food Policy Analysis Report No 5, Agri-Food Policy Analysis Group, Dept. of Agricultural and Food Economics, Queen’s University Belfast, November, available: http://www.qub.ac.uk/afe/fapri/decouplingNI.pdf

Moss, J., S. McErlean, Z. Wu, M. Patton, P.Kostov, P.Westhoff and J. Binfield (2002) Analysis of the impact of Modulation on Agriculture in NI, NI-FAPRI Project: Agri-Food Policy Analysis Report No 4, Agri-Food Policy Analysis Group, Dept. of Agricultural and Food Economics, Queen’s University Belfast, September, available: http://www.qub.ac.uk/afe/fapri/ModulationNI.pdf

Mishev P, N. Ivanova and P. Kostov (2002) Analysing Agricultural Policy Options Under Transition in View of Future Accession to EU: Partial Equilibrium Dual Structure Sector Model for Bulgaria, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Recurrence Analysis Techniques for Non-stationary and Non-linear Data, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Integrated Rural Development – Do we Need a New Approach, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Block-diagonal representation of a dualistic agricultural economy and its application in formal modelling: the case of Bulgaria, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.

Kostov, P. (2002) Transition Agricultural Decommercialisation and their Implications for Quantitative Modelling, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) On the Nature of Bulgarian Subsistence Agriculture, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Institutional Foundations of Subsistence Agriculture in Transition Countries, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.

Mishev, P. and P. Kostov (2002) Decision Making Pattern of Subsistence Farmers in Bulgaria, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Transition, Agriculture and the Vanishing Market, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Modelling the Effects of Subsistence on Bulgarian Agricultural Performance, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2001) Rural Development as Risk Management, Working Paper 65, Centre for Rural Economy, Dept of Agricultural Economics and Food Marketing, University of Newcastle.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (1999) Dualistic Agriculture and its Impacts on Forecasting: A Quantitative Study, Working Paper, AEFM, University of Newcastle, November.

Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (1999) Subsistence versus Commercial Agriculture in Economies in Transition: (How) Does It Matter?, Working Paper, AEFM, University of Newcastle, October.

Kostov, P. (1999) Overview of Economic Developments in Bulgaria During Transition and Emergence of Subsistence Farming, Working Paper, AEFM, University of Newcastle, May.

Kostov, P. (1998) "Effects of CAP-like Policies on Bulgarian Tobacco Producers", Working Paper, PAPAU, MAFAR, Sofia, August.

Kostov P. (1998) "Bulgarian Grain Production in Relation to the Accession to the EU", Working Paper, PAPAU, MAFAR, Sofia, June.

Ivanova, N. and P. Kostov (1998) "Revision of the Preliminary Results for the Effects of Some Macroeconomic Factors on Food Prices", Working Paper, PAU, Sofia, February.

Ivanova, N. and P. Kostov (1997) "Assessment of Macroeconomic Impacts on Agriculture: Preliminary Results", Working Paper, PAU, Sofia.

Ivanova, N., R. Trifonova and P. Kostov (1997) "Effects of Agricultural Policies on Production, Utilization, Net Trade and Budget Expenditures", Policy Discussion Paper, PAU, Sofia.

Kostov, P. (1996) "Budget Expenditure on Agriculture When Restrictive Macroeconomic Policy is Implemented", MAFI, Sofia, December.

Kostov, P. (1996) "Accounting Framework for Estimation of Budgetary Costs of Agricultural Policy", Working Paper, PAU, Sofia,

Kostov, P. (1996) "Budget Implications of Agricultural Policies in 1993 and 1994: An Ex-Post Accounting Framework", Working Paper, Project 95.4, PAU, Sofia.

Kostov, P., K. Moulton, A. Buckwell and S. Davidova (1996) "Agricultural and Rural Employment In Bulgaria, 1989 and 1994". Working Paper 782, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Berkeley, February.

Kostov, P. (1995) "Employment in Bulgarian Agriculture 1989-1994: Policy Issues", Policy Discussion Paper, PAU, MAFI, Sofia.

Kostov, P. (1995) Employment in Bulgarian Agriculture During Transition, Working Paper No2, Project 94.5, PAU, MAFI, Sofia.

Other:

Kostov, P., S. McErlean and J. Li (2004) Analysis of the Impact of the Luxembourg Agreement on reform of the Common Agricultural Policy on the Agri-Food Sector in the United Kingdom: an application of the AG-MEMOD Model, EU Fifth Framework project QLK5-CT-2000-00473.

Kostov, P. and S. McErlean (2003) Baseline and Scenario projections for UK agriculture, EU Fifth Framework project QLK5-CT-2000-00473, Athens, November.

Moss, J., S. McErlean, M. Patton, P. Kostov, P. Westhoff and J. Binfield (2003) The impact of Decoupling on UK agriculture, Euro Choices, 2 (2), 24-25.

Kostov, P. and S. McErlean (2003) UK AGMEMOD model: technical description, EU Fifth Framework project QLK5-CT-2000-00473.

Moss, J., S. McErlean, Z. Wu, M. Patton, P.Kostov, P.Westhoff and J. Binfield (2002) Analysis of the impact of Modulation on UK agriculture, Agri-Food Policy Analysis Group, Dept. of Agricultural and Food Economics, Queen’s University Belfast, Study commissioned by DEFRA, September.

Kostov, P. (2002) Feed use specification: tentative guidelines, mimeo, AG-MEMOD, EU Fifth Framework project QLK5-CT-2000-00473, Belfast, June.

Kostov, P. (2002) Land allocation mechanism template description for the AGMEMOD project, mimeo, AG-MEMOD, EU Fifth Framework project QLK5-CT-2000-00473, Belfast, June.

Kostov, P. (2002) Land allocation mechanism, AG-MEMOD, internal workshop presentation, EU Fifth Framework project QLK5-CT-2000-00473, Leuven, June.

Kostov, P. (2001) Asymmetric response model, estimation and implementation, AG-MEMOD, internal workshop presentation, EU Fifth Framework project QLK5-CT-2000-00473, Copenhagen, November.

Kostov, P. (2001) Feed Ratios: specification and calculation, AG-MEMOD, internal workshop presentation, EU Fifth Framework project QLK5-CT-2000-00473, Copenhagen, November.

Kostov, P. and S. McErlean (2001) AG-MEMOD model for the United Kingdom, preliminary technical report, AG-MEMOD, EU Fifth Framework project QLK5-CT-2000-00473, October.

Kostov, P. (2001) Assessing and Measuring the Importance of Small-Scale Subsistence Farming in Bulgarian Agriculture, unpublished PhD thesis, Department of Agricultural Economics and Food Marketing, University of Newcastle upon Tyne.

Mishev, P., N. Ivanova and P. Kostov (1999) "Partial Equilibrium Dual Structure Sector Model for Bulgaria", Phare ACE P96-6107-R, Final country report, Athens, May.

Mishev, P. N. Ivanova and P. Kostov (1999) "Bulgarian Agriculture - Structural Characteristics and Modelling Options", Phare ACE P96-6107-R, Workshop paper, Ljubliana, March.

Mishev, P. N. Ivanova and P. Kostov (1998) "Modelling the Dualistic Structure of Bulgarian Agriculture", Phare ACE P96-6107-R, Workshop paper, Sofia, November.

Kostov, P. and K. Ganev (1998) "Overview of Bulgarian Grain Sector" [in Bulgarian], Agroexpress, Sofia, November.

Ivanova, N. and P. Kostov (1998) NPCs, EPCs and PSE: Results and Implications, World Bank, Bulgaria Country Team, unpublished report, June.

Ivanova, N. and P. Kostov (1998) Agricultural Tariff Protection, World Bank, Bulgaria Agriculture Sector Review, Technical Report, April.

Ivanova, N. and P. Kostov (1997) NPC Calculations for Major Agricultural Products, unpublished commissioned report, World Bank, Sofia Office, December.

Kostov, P. (1996) "Employment Survey in June 1995: Results and Implications" [in Bulgarian], AMIS (Agricultural Market Information Systems), Sofia, November/December.