The Queen's University of Belfast
Department of Agricultural and Food Economics:
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Dr Philip Kostov
MSc Intern. Econ. (1994) PhD Agric. Econ. (2001)
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Contact point
Tel.: +44 28 90255237 Fax: +44 28 90255327 E-mail: p dot kostov at qub dot ac dot uk |
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(Some) research interests:

Agricultural sector modelling
Economic transition in Central and Eastern Europe
Economic decision making
Fat tails and excess kurtosis in economic data
Long memory and volatility persistence
Seasonality
Selected recent publications:

Kostov, P., Z. Wu and S. McErlean (2005) Do Chinese Stock Markets Share Common Information Arrival Processes, in J. Chen and S. Yao (eds.), Globalisation, Competition and Growth in China, RoutledgeCurzon Studies on the Chinese Economy, London: Taylor & Francis.
Kostov, P. and S. McErlean (2005) Using the Mixtures-of-Distributions technique for the classification of farms into representative farms, Agricultural Systems,
Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2004) Subsistence Agriculture in Transition Economies: its Roles and Determinants, Journal of Agricultural Economics, 55 (3): 565-579.
A WP version available here.
Kostov, P. and S. McErlean (2004) Agricultural price volatility spill-over effects: A Comment, European Review of Agricultural Economics, 31(3): 481-485.
Mishev, P. and P. Kostov (2003) Decision Making Pattern of Subsistence Farmers in Bulgaria, in S. Abele and K. Frohberg. (eds.) Subsistence Agriculture in Central and Eastern Europe: How to Break the Vicious Cycle, Studies on the Agricultural and Food Sector in Central and Eastern Europe, vol. 22, Halle: IAMO, 71-86.
Kostov, P. & J. Lingard (2003) Sviluppo rurale integrato: e necessario un nuovo approccio?, A. Arzeni, R. Esposti, F. Sotte (a cura di) Politiche di Sviluppo Rurale tra Programmazione e Valutazione, Associazione Alessandro Bartola, Milano: Franco Angeli, 31-46.
Moss, J., S. McErlean, M. Patton, P.Kostov, P. Westhoff and J. Binfield (2003) The impact of Decoupling on UK agriculture, Euro Choices, 2 (2), 24-25.
Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2003) Risk management: a general framework for rural development, Journal of Rural Studies, 19 (4): 463-476.
Mishev P, N. Ivanova and P. Kostov (2002) Agricultural Policy Options Distinguishing a Subsistence Sub-sector in Bulgaria, in G. Mergos (ed.) EU Enlargement and the CAP. A Quantitative Analysis for Slovenia and Bulgaria, Kiel: Wissenschaftsverlag Vauk, 135-170.
Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Integrated Rural Development - Do We Need a New Approach? in A. Arzeni, R. Esposti and F. Sotte (eds.) European Policy Experiences with Rural Development, Kiel: Wissenschaftsverlag Vauk, 43-59.
Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Subsistence Farming in Transitional Economies: Lessons from Bulgaria, Journal of Rural Studies, 18(1): 83-94.
Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Recurrence Analysis Techniques for Non-stationary and Non-linear Data, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.
Kostov, P. and J.
Lingard (2002) Block-diagonal
representation of a dualistic agricultural economy and its application in
formal modelling: the case of Bulgaria, ACE
Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.
Kostov, P. (2002) Transition, Agricultural Decommercialisation and their Implications for Quantitative Modelling, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.
Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) On the Nature of Bulgarian Subsistence Agriculture, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.
Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Institutional Foundations of Subsistence Agriculture in Transition Countries, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.
Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Transition, Agriculture and the Vanishing Market, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.
Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2002) Modelling the Effects of Subsistence on Bulgarian Agricultural Performance, ACE Discussion Paper Series, Phare ACE, Brussels.
Kostov, P. and J. Lingard (2001) Rural Development as Risk Management, Working Paper 65, Centre for Rural Economy, Dept. of Agricultural Economics and Food Marketing, University of Newcastle.
More comprehensive list available here
Some downloadable papers
Current research projects:

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2005- |
Impact analysis of the Common Agricultural Policy reform on main agricultural commodities, J05/03/2005, EC DG JRC –IPTS. |
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2005- |
EU Sixth Framework, "AG-MEMOD 2020 – Agricultural Member State Modelling for the EU and Eastern European countries ", contract No 021543 |
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2004- |
DARDNI FAPRI “Analysing agriculture in the UK”(co-funded by DEFRA, SEERAD and NAW) |
Completed research projects
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