The Queen's University of Belfast
Department of Agricultural and Food Economics:
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Joan E. Moss (Senior Lecturer)
Degrees: BSc Econ., MSc, PhD
Contact Point:
Department of Agricultural and Food Economics
Queen’s University Belfast
Newforge Lane
Belfast BT8 5PX
Northern Ireland
Tel: (44) 28 90 255212
Fax: (44) 28 90 255327
e-mail: j.moss@qub.ac.uk
Current Research Interests:
(in collaboration with Dr Seamus McErlean and Dr Ziping Wu)
The focus of this area of research is the development of sectoral level models for agriculture in Northern Ireland. Individual models, consisting of a set of econometrically estimated equations based on time series data, have been developed for the dairy, beef and sheep sectors. Agricultural Inputs models have also been developed. The models are linked together and with EU models (themselves linked to the FAPRI Global Modelling system) developed by FAPRI at the University of Missouri (http://www.fapri.missouri.edu) to form a system, which is simulated to produce ten-year projections of the key commodity variables and their prices as well as overall sector incomes. The modelling system can be simulated to produce ten-year projections under different policy (and macro) scenarios for the purposes of policy evaluation. This work has benefited from co-operation with colleagues in Teagasc, Dublin (http://www.fapri-ireland.itgo.com), who are engaged in a similar project.
This research project receives the financial support of the Rural Innovation and Research Partnership (N.I.) Ltd. through the EU LEADER11 programme. It focuses on qualitative and quantitative aspects of modelling rural household (both farm and non-farm) decision-making processes. It identifies the spatial participation of rural based labour in the wider economy and examines the factors influencing labour participation in a range of agricultural and non-agricultural activities. The research seeks to improve understanding of rural household adjustment behaviour and to inform the policy process.
Current Teaching Interests:
Agricultural Economics
Agriculture in developing economies
Rural development practice in developed economies
Environmental and agricultural policy integration
Publications
Moss, J.E. and McErlean, S.A. (2000). The Impact of Different Exchange Rate Projections on the Northern Ireland Agricultural Sector. In: Proceedings of the ASA/NIIAS Millennium Conference, Eds. S. Gaule and D. McCormack, Dublin. pp: 12-21.
Moss, J.E., McErlean, S.A., Wu, Z., Ijpelaar, J. and Doherty, A. (1999). Briefing Paper on Agenda 2000 Proposals, CRS Briefing Paper, 21 pp.
McErlean, S.A., Moss, J.E., Wu, Z., Doherty, A. and Ijpelaar, J. (1999). Analysis of the Impact of the CAP Reform Measures (Berlin Agreement) on the Northern Ireland Beef and Dairy Sectors, AFED Research Report, (Occasional Paper Series). pp: 1-62.
McErlean, S.A., Moss, J.E., Wu, Z., Ijpelaar, J. and Doherty, A. (1999). The impact of BSE on price transmission within the steer beef production chain. NI FAPRI Project Working Paper No.1, Belfast.
Caskie, P., Davis, J. and Moss, J.E. (1999). The Economic Impact of BSE: A Regional Perspective. Applied Economics, 31: 1623-1630.
Caskie, P., Davis, J. and Moss, J.E. (1998). The Beginning of the End or the End of the Beginning for the BSE Crisis?, Food Policy, 23: 231-240.
Moss, J.E. and Wallace, M. (1997). A Linear Programming Analysis of the Impact of CAP Reform on Major Farm Types. In: Proceedings of the Agricultural Economics Society of Ireland, 1993-1994, Ed. Davis, J., AESI, Dublin.
Moss, J.E. and Chilton, S.M. (1997). The Socio-Economic Evaluation of the Mourne Mountains and Slieve Croob Environmentally Sensitive Areas Scheme, Centre for Rural Studies, QUB, Belfast, 128 pp, ISBN 0-85389-683-6.
Moss, J.E. and Chilton, S.M. (1997). The Technical Supplement to the Socio-Economic Evaluation of the Mourne Mountains and Slieve Croob Environmentally Sensitive Areas Scheme, Centre for Rural Studies, QUB, Belfast, 116 pp.
Moss, J.E. (1997). The Economic and Policy Environment for Farming, Chapter7. In: Soil and Environment: Northern Ireland, Ed. Cruickshank, J.G., Department of Agricultural and Environmental Science, QUB, Belfast. pp: 119-131.
Moss, J.E. (1997), The Evaluation of Landscape Enhancement Measures in an ESA In: Proceedings of the Agricultural Economics of Ireland, 1996-1997, AESI, Dublin.
Moss, J.E. (1996). Pluri-activity and Survival? A Study of family farms in Northern Ireland. In: Crisis on the Family Farm: Ethics or Economics?, Eds. Carruthers, S.P. and Miller, F.A., Centre for Agricultural Strategy, University of Reading. pp: 144-150.
Moss, J.E., Wallace, M., Bothwell, A., Phelan, J.F. and Kinsella, J. (1994). Farm Household Incomes: Prospects for a Changing Policy Environment, Co-operation North, Dublin, 147 pp.
Moss, J.E. and Lewis-Bowen, J. (1994). The Evaluation of the Agricultural Development Operational Programme for Northern Ireland, Centre for Rural Studies, QUB, Belfast, 120 pp. ISBN 0-85389-573-2.
Moss, J.E. and Chilton, S.M. (1994). A Baseline Assessment for a New ESA. The Case of the Mourne Mountains and Slieve Croob. In: Incentives for Countryside Management: The Case of the Environmentally Sensitive Areas, Ed. Whitby, M., CAB International, Oxford. pp: 153-178.
Moss, J.E. (1994). Agriculture. In: Political Issues in Ireland Today, Ed. Collins, N., Manchester University Press, Manchester, pp: 118-142.
Moss, J.E. and Chilton, S. M. (1993). Agriculture and the Environmentally Sensitive Area Scheme. In: Rural Development in Ireland – A Challenge for the 1990’s, Eds. Murray, M. and Greer, J., Athenaeum Press, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, pp: 71-84.
Last updated July 2000