Project 039

Project Title:

Inter-Censal Migration Flows.


Dr James J Brown, Prof John MacDonald and Dr Alfonso Miranda


Institute of Education, Centre for Longitudinal Studies; Institute of Education, Dept of Quantitative Social Science and University of Southampton



Project Summary:

Annual migration flows between local authorities are published as part of estimating the mid-year population. These flows are actually based on movements on the health card registration systems measured by changes of addresses but only the marginal flows are published. The link to the NILS data opens the possibility of estimating the annual cross-flows between areas and by characteristics not measured on health card registration data (such as self-reported health status in the previous Census) using Bayesian models that calibrate different sources of data to be consistent. This has potential implications for local health planning if specific areas are experiencing relatively high inflows of those with poorer health.

Publications to date:

Brown, J and McDonald, M (2011) 'Estimating migration flows in Northern Ireland by health characteristics measured in the Census: using the NI Longitudinal Study.' - presented at the British Society of Population Studies Annual Conference, University of Leeds, 7 September 2011.


We are very pleased to announce the new version of our data dictionary interface featuring: full variable information, advanced search options and the ability to save your own variable lists between sessions. We would greatly appreciate your thoughts on the new system so please find out more...


Latest News